Quote:
Originally Posted by akinkhoo
any ACADEMIC? did you CAP that just because you can't give names because they don't exist? 
the president of ROC himself stated that he does not want foreign intervention on the affair of the republic of china. and thanks for admitting that no country recognise Taiwan a country, they surrendered Hongkong and they will surely surrender Taiwan, we already know that.
The separatist faction knows the capitalist faction on the island already favour the beijing government even if they do not support immediate unification, they will resist any plans for independence with all their wealth, this is why the separatist are doing everything to damage trade, they are at war with the capitalist more than the nationalist at this point.
however, it may already be too late to change anything. even the DPP which has traditionally depended on seperatist vote, finds the position impossible to hold, the separatist vote only just isn't enough to make majority and win. not only does the KMT and PFP send delegation to the mainland now, even the DPP had to do so to survive in the current Taiwan political climate. DPP is under fire from separatist but the separatist got no one else to vote for, they have no chance of winning and must accept DPP's moderation toward the mainland.
No one here expects a hostile takeover of Taiwan, but I am sure no one sane will expect rebellion in Taiwan neither. if the Separatist does break rank and establish their own republic, the capitalist and nationalist will definitely suppress it as they have too much invested in the mainland, they just can't risk it. the result will look like northern ireland with the separatist turning to terrorism in an attempt to unified the island.
even DPP wouldn't want that, they know moderation is the only way to survive as a single entity, they don't have a green taiwan and a blue china actually becoming 2 entities... |
I was speaking at a more fundamental level rather than making a commentary on the current situation i.e. the question as to when is a state considered independent.
(Interesting that you brought that up though... Relations between Taiwan and China resemble relations between 2 states more than anything else)
Taiwan meets all criteria required to be considered an independent nation EXCEPT recognition by other states (though even then it depends on which states you talk about).
Coming back to the issue of US armed forces in the area... The US forces keeps Chinese invasion off the table EVEN IF the seperatist faction becomes powerful again. (you see my point now? Wow you pro-China activists can use anything as a springboard for your rhetoric)