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x2cool 02-11-2011 04:20 PM

Mubarak Steps Down
 
So after 18 days of the people of Egypt demanding that President Mubarak steps down, today he finally did. And apparently the military is going to take over. What do you guys think will happen in Egypt now? No doubt this is a historic occasion, but won't things get more complicated from here on out?

siokan 02-12-2011 12:08 AM

Economic rebuilding.
seizure Mubarak's property.

Egypt might become indigent when failing.
(The renewal of arms seems to be also severe)

Israel and Saudi Arabia are the watery eyes.

Western countries becomes painful. The sea lane securing becomes severe depending on the aircraft carrier disposition of China.

Ryzorian 02-12-2011 05:36 AM

I See Egypt going full "Islamic Republic", pretty much as Iran is now, within a year. After wich it declares war on Isreal and attacks. Several other Middle east countries could follow in Egypt's footsteps soon, Jordan, Syria, Yemen. It could become a mess very quickly.

China doesn't have aircraft carrier's and not much of a navy either, so I see no threat to the area there.

Ronin4hire 02-12-2011 05:45 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ryzorian (Post 850701)
I See Egypt going full "Islamic Republic", pretty much as Iran is now, within a year. After wich it declares war on Isreal and attacks. Several other Middle east countries could follow in Egypt's footsteps soon, Jordan, Syria, Yemen. It could become a mess very quickly.

I'm going to hold you to this prediction. Because when you're wrong I'm going to come back and remind you of you of it.

I'm thinking that Egypt will become a secular, majority muslim country like Turkey.

konbini 02-12-2011 05:50 AM

Maybe you are both wrong. It might become something in between the two.

Ronin4hire 02-12-2011 07:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by konbini (Post 850703)
Maybe you are both wrong. It might become something in between the two.

I could be wrong.. I'll admit that.

There is nothing to suggest that Ryzorian is right though.

I mean the "Muslim Brotherhood" that conservative Americans are scared of only has about 15% support if I remember correctly (a poll that was done).

Ryzorian 02-13-2011 12:28 AM

Ronin, if they go like Turkey and become a "secular" muslim country in a year you can call me on it and I will be glad to say I was wrong in that. The problem is that much of the middle east has been radicalized over the last several decades. The Muslim brotherhood is favored by over 60% of the base population not 15. The 15% is more like how many non muslims are actually in the country.

Turkey is constantly fighting the radical element, sometimes with an iron fist. It has better odds of going full islamic than Egypt has of going "Cold Turkey".
It why the US has allways supported the strong arm dictators over there, You needed the brutes to gaurd the door because the "muslim brotherhoods" kept trying to spread. It's an ugly situation to be in I admit, specially considering how bad it makes America look.

fluffy0000 02-13-2011 01:01 AM

Read it and weep dude.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ryzorian (Post 850701)
I See Egypt going full "Islamic Republic", pretty much as Iran is now, within a year. After wich it declares war on Isreal and attacks. Several other Middle east countries could follow in Egypt's footsteps soon, Jordan, Syria, Yemen. It could become a mess very quickly.

Newsweek
by Sarah A. TopolDecember 21, 2010

Steering Egypt Into the 21st Century
WikiLeaks details unsuccessful U.S. efforts to modernize Cairo's military strategy.

Recently leaked diplomatic cables reveal that America’s staunchest Arab ally—and the recipient of the second-largest American military-aid package—is tenaciously resisting U.S. pleas to reform its military mission to meet 21st-century threats. Instead, Egypt, a waning regional power, insists on procuring additional conventional weapons more suitable for last century’s battles.

But with Egypt’s power projected inward at a restive population, American officials continue to grapple with a clumsy military that’s ill prepared for modern challenges in an increasingly volatile region. “The cables reveal a military deeply reluctant to take part in regional counterterrorism efforts, and the focus on weapons necessary for desert battle is a reflection of that,” says Steven Cook, a senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations who studies the Egyptian armed forces. “The Egyptian military is not good at or interested in, quite frankly, projecting power. It is there to ensure the survival of the regime and protect the country’s borders.”

Ryzorian 02-14-2011 05:10 AM

That's all well and good, cept the Muslim Brotherhood has allready claimed war with Isreal is comeing. The real test is wether Egypt's military is more in tune with the brotherhood or not.

Ronin4hire 02-14-2011 08:01 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ryzorian (Post 850967)
That's all well and good, cept the Muslim Brotherhood has allready claimed war with Isreal is comeing. The real test is wether Egypt's military is more in tune with the brotherhood or not.

You know what else they've claimed?

They're not going to front a presidential candidate in coming elections.

Anyway, I know nothing of these claims that you say they made. What's your source?


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