Quote:
Originally Posted by MMM
Anyone can predict earthquakes. The real trick is prediction with timing, magnitude and location accuracy.
You predicted 5.5+ earthquake in March in Japan.
As we have stated 5.5+ earthquakes happen dozens and dozens of times a year in Japan. There is no timing, magnitude or location accuracy in your prediction to make it any more interesting than predicting that the sun will come up tomorrow.
If you could narrow down those three factors by about 400%, then you are talking about something interesting. Otherwise you are playing darts and congratulating yourself for not missing the dart board, or the wall, for that matter.
"VERY STRONG EARTHQUAKE" is a VERY RELATIVE TERM.
Start predicting costs of damages, numbers of dead and injured, numbers of homes and buildings destroyed, etc. and then you might be on to something.
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Sir, 9M is between 5.5 to unlimited mag, time is March, forecasted location is specified offshore from S Tokyo to N island. This was forecast.
General economic cost was estimated:
Economic cost if 8.9M earthquake hit Japan inland
I maybe can pinpoint closer location, but it costs me a lot time and sacrification of other job.