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It's preposterous to say you use 5.5+ to make it "less scary" for readers (who don't go here for quake predictions) when in your previous post you said "If you cant do anything to save other lives then please be careful to comment or mock others. It maybe harmful to other lives of your own people there." Well, making it less scary for readers could be HARMFUL to them too, because you aren't telling them the truth. Let me say this, I forecast that Japan will suffer 30 earthquakes of magnitude 5.0+ within 300 miles of Tokyo in the whole month of May. How many people will agree with me here? Japanese people are aware of earthquakes and their detection and reporting methods are among the best in the world. By saying something that's pretty much a given, you are NOT going to save any lives here. |
Earthquakes 5.5+ magnitude are a part of life in much of Japan. This isn't a scale that is considered dangerous or life-threatening.
I am with John Braden.... Kanto will see 30 quakes in May at 5+. Japan as a country will see dozens more. (Why limit yourself, John? Thor isn't.) |
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Most American understand my forecast without any problems. I cant do action plan, because I was very busy to collect data and forecast, dont know any Japnese or Latin American either. Of course, I informed USGS. USGS position is NOBODY can predict (not forecast) earthquake. Can never ask governments to do anything unless they see benefits to them and this is not a case. |
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I am American and I still don't understand your forecast. You have to know that the majority of the people who are logged on to this forum don't live in Japan. So, by you forecasting something here, the whole of Japan will not be informed because they don't frequent this website. |
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I am done with my good will. Sorry for Japan country's disasters. I have other businesses must take care right now. |
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You predicted 5.5+ earthquake in March in Japan. As we have stated 5.5+ earthquakes happen dozens and dozens of times a year in Japan. There is no timing, magnitude or location accuracy in your prediction to make it any more interesting than predicting that the sun will come up tomorrow. If you could narrow down those three factors by about 400%, then you are talking about something interesting. Otherwise you are playing darts and congratulating yourself for not missing the dart board, or the wall, for that matter. Quote:
Start predicting costs of damages, numbers of dead and injured, numbers of homes and buildings destroyed, etc. and then you might be on to something. |
5.5+ means 5.5 to unlimited mag.
You ignore "Very Strong Earthquake" You misunderstood "prediction" and "forecasting". This is forecast not prediction. |
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The questions people want answers to are, how much is it going to rain? How many days will it rain? Will it be a light rain, or torrential storms? I didn't ignore "VERY STRONG EARTHQUAKE", I am telling you it doesn't mean anything without any accurate numbers behind it, of which you provide none. |
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General economic cost was estimated: Economic cost if 8.9M earthquake hit Japan inland I maybe can pinpoint closer location, but it costs me a lot time and sacrification of other job. |
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